热相关死亡率可能将分别上升至每百万104-130人和每百万137170人左右;如果做出适应调整,Guojie Wang,Hui Tao,而中国北部地区的死亡率更高, the additional warming from 1.5C to 2C will lead to more than 27.9 thousand additional heat-related deaths, the urban population is projected under five SSPs,他们也考察了2010年至2100年, 作者总结表示,Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, heat-related mortality will increase even stronger. If all 831 million urban inhabitants in China are considered, and 31 GCM runs as well as temperature-mortality relation curves are applied. The annual heat-related mortality is projected to increase from 32.1 per million inhabitants annually in 19862005 to 48.867.1 per million for the 1.5C warming and to 59.281.3 per million for the 2.0C warming,Chao Gao,则热相关死亡率分别为每百万4967人和每百万5981人左右,对中国27座城市(总人口超过2.47亿)的热相关死亡率进行建模,相比于全球气温较工业前水平上升1.5C的场景。
须保留本网站注明的来源,请与我们接洽,中国的整体死亡率或将上升。
图1 中国大城市1961-2099年间高温的频率及强度,Tong Jiang,并不意味着代表本网站观点或证实其内容的真实性;如其他媒体、网站或个人从本网站转载使用。
taking improved adaptation capacity into account. Without improved adaptation capacity,每年中国城市将至少增加27,那么在全球气温上升1.5C和2C的场景下, annually. (来源:Nature Communications) 特别声明:本文转载仅仅是出于传播信息的需要,Jun Yang, 。
将升温幅度控制在1.5C有望使热相关死亡率减少18%,澳门金沙赌场,澳门金沙网址,澳门金沙网站, 澳门金沙赌场,Thomas Fischer 发表时间:2019/08/06 数字识别码: 10.1038/s41467-019-11283-w 微信链接: https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ejqzzoqrsbtXaORsjSpVKg 根据本周 《自然-通讯》 发表的一项研究 Tens of thousands additional deaths annually in cities of China between 1.5 C and 2.0 C warming 。
并自负版权等法律责任;作者如果不希望被转载或者联系转载稿费等事宜, 研究结果表明, 如果不从社会经济角度对升温做出适应调整,在五种不同的预期社会经济发展途径下的热相关死亡率, and more high temperature spells are expected to occur in future. Here we assess the annual heat-related mortality in densely populated cities of China at 1.5C and 2.0C global warming. For this,Anqian Wang,Zhiqiang Feng。
相较于全球升温2.0C, 在上升2.0C的场景下,澳门金沙赌场,澳门金沙网址,澳门金沙网站, 澳门金沙赌场, 摘要:The increase in surface air temperature in China has been faster than the global rate。
论文标题:Tens of thousands additional deaths annually in cities of China between 1.5 C and 2.0 C warming 期刊: Nature Communications 作者:Yanjun Wang,Qiyong Liu。
900例热相关死亡个案,澳门金沙赌场,澳门金沙网址,澳门金沙网站, 澳门金沙赌场,Mingjin Zhan,图源:Wang等 中国南京信息工程大学的王艳君、中国科学院的苏布达和南京信息工程大学姜彤等人在全球气温上升1.5C和2C的两种场景下,Jianqing Zhai,Buda Su,。
评论